Papers › Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks for Trajectory Prediction

Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks for Trajectory Prediction

25 Mar 2021arXiv:2103.14107archive 2025-07-28

Chuhua Wang, Yuchen Wang, Mingze Xu, David J. Crandall

We propose to predict the future trajectories of observed agents (e.g., pedestrians or vehicles) by estimating and using their goals at multiple time scales. We argue that the goal of a moving agent may change over time, and modeling goals continuously provides more accurate and detailed information for future trajectory estimation. To this end, we present a recurrent network for trajectory prediction, called Stepwise Goal-Driven Network (SGNet). Unlike prior work that models only a single, long-term goal, SGNet estimates and uses goals at multiple temporal scales. In particular, it incorporates an encoder that captures historical information, a stepwise goal estimator that predicts successive goals into the future, and a decoder that predicts future trajectory. We evaluate our model on three first-person traffic datasets (HEV-I, JAAD, and PIE) as well as on three bird's eye view datasets (NuScenes, ETH, and UCY), and show that our model achieves state-of-the-art results on all datasets. Code has been made available at: https://github.com/ChuhuaW/SGNet.pytorch.

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Tasks

DecoderMulti-future Trajectory PredictionPredictionTrajectory Prediction

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

TaskDatasetModelMetricValueRank at snapshotLeaderboardReport
Trajectory Prediction ETH/UCY SGNet ADE-8/12 0.18 #4 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction ETH/UCY SGNet FDE-8/12 0.35 #4 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction HEV-I SGNet ADE(0.5) 6.28 #1 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction HEV-I SGNet ADE(1.0) 11.35 #1 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction HEV-I SGNet ADE(1.5) 18.27 #1 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction HEV-I SGNet FDE(1.5) 39.86 #1 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction HEV-I SGNet FIOU(1.5) 0.63 #1 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction JAAD SGNet CF_MSE(1.5) 4076 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction JAAD SGNet C_MSE(1.5) 996 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction JAAD SGNet MSE(0.5) 82 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction JAAD SGNet MSE(1.0) 328 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction JAAD SGNet MSE(1.5) 1049 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction PIE SGNet CF_MSE(1.5) 1761 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction PIE SGNet C_MSE(1.5) 413 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction PIE SGNet MSE(0.5) 34 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction PIE SGNet MSE(1.0) 133 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report
Trajectory Prediction PIE SGNet MSE(1.5) 442 #1 of 5 Archive leaderboard report

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