Papers › FIERY: Future Instance Prediction in Bird's-Eye View from Surround Monocular Cameras
FIERY: Future Instance Prediction in Bird's-Eye View from Surround Monocular Cameras
Anthony Hu, Zak Murez, Nikhil Mohan, Sofía Dudas, Jeffrey Hawke, Vijay Badrinarayanan, Roberto Cipolla, Alex Kendall
Driving requires interacting with road agents and predicting their future behaviour in order to navigate safely. We present FIERY: a probabilistic future prediction model in bird's-eye view from monocular cameras. Our model predicts future instance segmentation and motion of dynamic agents that can be transformed into non-parametric future trajectories. Our approach combines the perception, sensor fusion and prediction components of a traditional autonomous driving stack by estimating bird's-eye-view prediction directly from surround RGB monocular camera inputs. FIERY learns to model the inherent stochastic nature of the future solely from camera driving data in an end-to-end manner, without relying on HD maps, and predicts multimodal future trajectories. We show that our model outperforms previous prediction baselines on the NuScenes and Lyft datasets. The code and trained models are available at https://github.com/wayveai/fiery.
In Syntology Open this paper in Syntology's Atlas, the map of the papers in Syntology's graph and their citations.
For agents, Syntology's MCP tool lists every function and class Syntology harvested from this paper and whether it ran (how to connect): get_harvested_code_for_paper(arxiv_id="2104.10490")
Code
Syntology Ran 0 of 1 code samples harvested from 1 repository linked to this paper; 1 has no recorded run.
By repository: official repository: 1 sample from 1 repository, 0 ran. The run record, sample by sample. “Ran” means executed on a synthesized input, not that the code is correct or reproduces the paper.
Repository list and official/mentioned flags are the archive's, frozen 2025-07-28. Reachability, where shown, is from one Syntology probe window (2026-09-16 to 2026-09-18); repositories not probed show nothing. GitHub stars are not tracked.
Code Syntology ran Syntology
1 sample harvested; 0 ran; 0 honoured the contract we drafted; 1 has no recorded run. Read from Syntology's graph 2026-09-24; that is when this build read the record, not when the samples ran.
Licence: 0 of the 1 sample are pointer only, meaning Syntology does not serve that copy's text. This page shows no code text for any sample; each one links to its file in the repository.
Harvested from wayveai/fiery. “Ran” means the sample executed on a synthesized input. It does not mean the output is correct, and nothing here reproduces the paper's results. “Honoured” and “violated” refer to a contract Syntology drafted from the code itself; “our draft was wrong” and “fixture could not drive it” are failures of Syntology's instrument, not of the code.
Each sample ends with its code_sha256, Syntology's identity for that exact code. An agent fetches the stored sample with Syntology's MCP tool get_code(code_sha256="…") (how to connect); click an identity to copy that call.
Repository labels, per sample. official repository: The archive marks this repository official for the paper. named in the paper: The archive records that the paper mentions this repository; it is not marked official. community (archive-listed): In the archive's code links for this paper, not marked official and not recorded as mentioned in the paper. found in paper text by Syntology: Syntology found this repository in the paper's own text; whether it is the authors' implementation is not asserted. community: Not in the archive's code links for this paper; a community repository Syntology harvested. Samples from a repository marked official are listed first. Licence labels name the repository's licence as recorded at harvest. “Pointer only” means Syntology does not serve that copy's text, for one of four reasons: no licence file was found; the licence was not identified; the licence is recorded as permissive but that copy's record is not marked cleared; or the licence is outside the permissive list Syntology serves text under (MIT, Apache-2.0, BSD and similar). Some licences outside that list permit redistribution, such as WTFPL, and GPL-3.0 under its conditions; they are simply not on the list. Hover a licence label for the reason. File links open the file on GitHub at the default branch, which may have changed since the harvest.
0aa4fbf8c08322f6 · report
Tasks
Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28
| Task | Dataset | Model | Metric | Value | Rank at snapshot | Leaderboard | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | Lyft Level 5 | FIERY | IoU vehicle - 224x480 - Long | 36.7 | #7 of 7 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | Lyft Level 5 | FIERY | IoU vehicle - 224x480 - Short | 59.4 | #7 of 7 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY (static) | IoU ped - 224x480 - Vis filter. - 100x100 at 0.5 | 17.2 | #5 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY (static) | IoU veh - 224x480 - No vis filter - 100x100 at 0.5 | 35.8 | #5 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY (static) | IoU veh - 224x480 - Vis filter. - 100x100 at 0.5 | 39.8 | #5 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY | IoU veh - 224x480 - No vis filter - 100x100 at 0.5 | 38.2 | #9 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY | IoU veh - 224x480 - No vis filter - 100x50 at 0.25 | 41.1 | #9 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
| Bird's-Eye View Semantic Segmentation | nuScenes | FIERY | IoU vehicle - Setting 3 | 58.5 | #9 of 17 | Archive leaderboard | report |
Ranks are positions in the archive's leaderboards as they stood at the 2025-07-28 snapshot. Results published since then are not among these rows, so a rank here is not a current standing.
Report a problem or propose a change · a person checks every report against the paper or source before anything changes; decisions are listed on /corrections