Papers › Distribution Free Prediction Sets for Node Classification

Distribution Free Prediction Sets for Node Classification

26 Nov 2022arXiv:2211.14555archive 2025-07-28

Jase Clarkson

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are able to achieve high classification accuracy on many important real world datasets, but provide no rigorous notion of predictive uncertainty. Quantifying the confidence of GNN models is difficult due to the dependence between datapoints induced by the graph structure. We leverage recent advances in conformal prediction to construct prediction sets for node classification in inductive learning scenarios. We do this by taking an existing approach for conformal classification that relies on \textit{exchangeable} data and modifying it by appropriately weighting the conformal scores to reflect the network structure. We show through experiments on standard benchmark datasets using popular GNN models that our approach provides tighter and better calibrated prediction sets than a naive application of conformal prediction.

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ClassificationConformal PredictionInductive LearningNode ClassificationPrediction

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