Papers › Efficient Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting with Transformers: A Spatial Data Management...

Efficient Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting with Transformers: A Spatial Data Management Perspective

13 Dec 2024arXiv:2412.09972archive 2025-07-28

Yuchen Fang, Yuxuan Liang, Bo Hui, Zezhi Shao, Liwei Deng, Xu Liu, Xinke Jiang, Kai Zheng

Road traffic forecasting is crucial in real-world intelligent transportation scenarios like traffic dispatching and path planning in city management and personal traveling. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) stand out as the mainstream solution in this task. Nevertheless, the quadratic complexity of remarkable dynamic spatial modeling-based STGNNs has become the bottleneck over large-scale traffic data. From the spatial data management perspective, we present a novel Transformer framework called PatchSTG to efficiently and dynamically model spatial dependencies for large-scale traffic forecasting with interpretability and fidelity. Specifically, we design a novel irregular spatial patching to reduce the number of points involved in the dynamic calculation of Transformer. The irregular spatial patching first utilizes the leaf K-dimensional tree (KDTree) to recursively partition irregularly distributed traffic points into leaf nodes with a small capacity, and then merges leaf nodes belonging to the same subtree into occupancy-equaled and non-overlapped patches through padding and backtracking. Based on the patched data, depth and breadth attention are used interchangeably in the encoder to dynamically learn local and global spatial knowledge from points in a patch and points with the same index of patches. Experimental results on four real world large-scale traffic datasets show that our PatchSTG achieves train speed and memory utilization improvements up to 10× and 4× with the state-of-the-art performance.

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lmissher/patchstg officialmentioned in papermentioned on GitHubpytorch report
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masked_mae lmissher/patchstg/lib/utils.py official repository ran · fixture could not drive it fingerprinted MIT (permissive) · f7098c6cfe715469 · report
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seq2instance lmissher/stgnn/utils.py community (archive-listed) unverified MIT (permissive) · 3fc58cdee460bc5d · report

Tasks

ManagementTraffic Prediction

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

TaskDatasetModelMetricValueRank at snapshotLeaderboardReport
Traffic Prediction LargeST PatchSTG CA MAE 17.35 #1 of 6 Archive leaderboard report
Traffic Prediction LargeST PatchSTG GBA MAE 19.50 #1 of 6 Archive leaderboard report
Traffic Prediction LargeST PatchSTG GLA MAE 18.96 #1 of 6 Archive leaderboard report
Traffic Prediction LargeST PatchSTG SD MAE 16.90 #1 of 6 Archive leaderboard report

Ranks are positions in the archive's leaderboards as they stood at the 2025-07-28 snapshot. Results published since then are not among these rows, so a rank here is not a current standing.

Methods

Absolute Position EncodingsAdamAttentionBPEDense ConnectionsDropoutLabel SmoothingLayer NormalizationLinear LayerMulti-Head AttentionPatchingPosition-Wise Feed-Forward LayerResidual ConnectionSPEEDSoftmaxTransformer

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