Papers › Wasserstein Adversarial Transformer for Cloud Workload Prediction
Wasserstein Adversarial Transformer for Cloud Workload Prediction
Shivani Arbat, Vinodh Kumaran Jayakumar, Jaewoo Lee, Wei Wang, In Kee Kim
Predictive Virtual Machine (VM) auto-scaling is a promising technique to optimize cloud applications operating costs and performance. Understanding the job arrival rate is crucial for accurately predicting future changes in cloud workloads and proactively provisioning and de-provisioning VMs for hosting the applications. However, developing a model that accurately predicts cloud workload changes is extremely challenging due to the dynamic nature of cloud workloads. Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) models have been developed for cloud workload prediction. Unfortunately, the state-of-the-art LSTM model leverages recurrences to predict, which naturally adds complexity and increases the inference overhead as input sequences grow longer. To develop a cloud workload prediction model with high accuracy and low inference overhead, this work presents a novel time-series forecasting model called WGAN-gp Transformer, inspired by the Transformer network and improved Wasserstein-GANs. The proposed method adopts a Transformer network as a generator and a multi-layer perceptron as a critic. The extensive evaluations with real-world workload traces show WGAN-gp Transformer achieves 5 times faster inference time with up to 5.1 percent higher prediction accuracy against the state-of-the-art approach. We also apply WGAN-gp Transformer to auto-scaling mechanisms on Google cloud platforms, and the WGAN-gp Transformer-based auto-scaling mechanism outperforms the LSTM-based mechanism by significantly reducing VM over-provisioning and under-provisioning rates.
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