Papers › Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation

Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation

23 Feb 2022Reliability Engineering & System Safety (RESS) 2022 2archive 2025-07-28

Nahuel Costa, Luciano Sanchez

A new method for evaluating aircraft engine monitoring data is proposed. Commonly, prognostics and health management systems use knowledge of the degradation processes of certain engine components together with professional expert opinion to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL). New data-driven approaches have emerged to provide accurate diagnostics without relying on such costly processes. However, most of them lack an explanatory component to understand model learning and/or the nature of the data. To overcome this gap we propose a novel approach based on variational encoding. The model consists of a recurrent encoder and a regression model: the encoder learns to compress the input data to a latent space that serves as a basis to build a self-explanatory map that can visually evaluate the rate of deterioration of aircraft engines. Obtaining such a latent space is regularized by a new cost function guided by variational inference and a term that penalizes prediction errors. Consequently, not only an interpretable assessment is achieved but also a remarkable prognostic accuracy, outperforming most of the state-of-the-art approaches on the popular simulation dataset C-MAPSS from NASA. In addition, we demonstrate the application of our method in a real-world scenario with data from actual Turbofan engines.

PaperPDFCode

Code

Repository list and official/mentioned flags are the archive's, frozen 2025-07-28. Reachability, where shown, is from one Syntology probe window (2026-09-16 to 2026-09-18); repositories not probed show nothing. GitHub stars are not tracked.

Code Syntology ran Syntology

Not run by Syntology. Nothing on this page verifies that the listed code works.

Tasks

ManagementRemaining Useful Lifetime EstimationVariational Inference

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

TaskDatasetModelMetricValueRank at snapshotLeaderboardReport
Remaining Useful Lifetime Estimation NASA C-MAPSS RVE RMSE 14.92 #1 of 1 Archive leaderboard report

Ranks are positions in the archive's leaderboards as they stood at the 2025-07-28 snapshot. Results published since then are not among these rows, so a rank here is not a current standing.

Methods

Variational Inference

Report a problem or propose a change · a person checks every report against the paper or source before anything changes; decisions are listed on /corrections