Papers › Unbiased MLMC stochastic gradient-based optimization of Bayesian experimental designs

Unbiased MLMC stochastic gradient-based optimization of Bayesian experimental designs

18 May 2020arXiv:2005.08414archive 2025-07-28

Takashi Goda, Tomohiko Hironaka, Wataru Kitade, Adam Foster

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to experimental design parameters is given by a nested expectation, for which the standard Monte Carlo method using a fixed number of inner samples yields a biased estimator. In this paper, applying the idea of randomized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods, we introduce an unbiased Monte Carlo estimator for the gradient of the expected information gain with finite expected squared ℓ₂-norm and finite expected computational cost per sample. Our unbiased estimator can be combined well with stochastic gradient descent algorithms, which results in our proposal of an optimization algorithm to search for an optimal Bayesian experimental design. Numerical experiments confirm that our proposed algorithm works well not only for a simple test problem but also for a more realistic pharmacokinetic problem.

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amsgrad_initialize Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/optimize.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 0577addb049ea50b · report
amsgrad_iterate Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/optimize.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 1d6211e990fb0d6e · report
dist_theta_pdf_test Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/models.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 59d8f17f7362768b · report
dist_theta_rvs_test Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/models.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 54916a5656cc2b87 · report
dist_y_rvs_test Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/models.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 466e0c7a63b5a8df · report
mlmc_eig_grad Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/mlmc_eig.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 18e16614cf3dfd83 · report
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robbins_monro_initialize Goda-Research-Group/MLMC_stochastic_gradient/mlmc_eig_grad/optimize.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 06fdd30684b0e2b8 · report

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