Papers › U.S. Election Hardens Hate Universe

U.S. Election Hardens Hate Universe

1 May 2024arXiv:2405.00459links table onlyarchive 2025-07-28

Akshay Verma, Richard Sear, Neil F. Johnson

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Local or national politics can trigger potentially dangerous hate in someone. But with a third of the world's population eligible to vote in elections in 2024 alone, we lack understanding of how individual-level hate multiplies up to hate behavior at the collective global scale. Here we show, based on the most recent U.S. election, that offline events are associated with a rapid adaptation of the global online hate universe that hardens (strengthens) both its network-of-networks structure and the 'flavors' of hate content that it collectively produces. Approximately 50 million potential voters in hate communities are drawn closer to each other and to the broad mainstream of approximately 2 billion others. It triggers new hate content at scale around immigration, ethnicity, and antisemitism that aligns with conspiracy theories about Jewish-led replacement before blending in hate around gender identity/sexual orientation, and religion. Telegram acts as a key hardening agent - yet is overlooked by U.S. Congressional hearings and new E.U. legislation. Because the hate universe has remained robust since 2020, anti-hate messaging surrounding not only upcoming elections but also other events like the war in Gaza, should pivot to blending multiple hate 'flavors' while targeting previously untouched social media structures.

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