Papers › TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

14 Jun 2023arXiv:2306.09364archive 2025-07-28

Vijay Ekambaram, Arindam Jati, Nam Nguyen, Phanwadee Sinthong, Jayant Kalagnanam

Transformers have gained popularity in time series forecasting for their ability to capture long-sequence interactions. However, their high memory and computing requirements pose a critical bottleneck for long-term forecasting. To address this, we propose TSMixer, a lightweight neural architecture exclusively composed of multi-layer perceptron (MLP) modules for multivariate forecasting and representation learning on patched time series. Inspired by MLP-Mixer's success in computer vision, we adapt it for time series, addressing challenges and introducing validated components for enhanced accuracy. This includes a novel design paradigm of attaching online reconciliation heads to the MLP-Mixer backbone, for explicitly modeling the time-series properties such as hierarchy and channel-correlations. We also propose a novel Hybrid channel modeling and infusion of a simple gating approach to effectively handle noisy channel interactions and generalization across diverse datasets. By incorporating these lightweight components, we significantly enhance the learning capability of simple MLP structures, outperforming complex Transformer models with minimal computing usage. Moreover, TSMixer's modular design enables compatibility with both supervised and masked self-supervised learning methods, making it a promising building block for time-series Foundation Models. TSMixer outperforms state-of-the-art MLP and Transformer models in forecasting by a considerable margin of 8-60%. It also outperforms the latest strong benchmarks of Patch-Transformer models (by 1-2%) with a significant reduction in memory and runtime (2-3X). The source code of our model is officially released as PatchTSMixer in the HuggingFace. Model: https://huggingface.co/docs/transformers/main/en/model_doc/patchtsmixer Examples: https://github.com/ibm/tsfm/#notebooks-links

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FlowStateFourierBasis ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/flowstate/modeling_flowstate.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 8ab6f44b1a7b9d88 · report
FlowStateLegendreBasis ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/flowstate/modeling_flowstate.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 4f39918fb5566fec · report
check_ttm_model_path ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/toolkit/get_model.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 608336716ae5973d · report
count_parameters ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/patchtst_fm/tools.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · b87432b3e0f45b5e · report
get_autocast_context ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/patchtst_fm/modeling_patchtst_fm.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 7b4cd0dfad3103f7 · report
hms_to_seconds ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/patchtst_fm/tools.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 7a089ba63c0fb94b · report
make_attn_mask ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/patchtst_fm/basic.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 4066f41e59d91524 · report
to_hms ibm/tsfm/tsfm_public/models/patchtst_fm/tools.py official repository unverified Apache-2.0 (permissive) · 5f504b83e76d1d59 · report

Tasks

Multivariate Time Series ForecastingRepresentation LearningSelf-Supervised LearningTime SeriesTime Series Forecasting

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

TaskDatasetModelMetricValueRank at snapshotLeaderboardReport
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.418 #1 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.399 #1 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.421 #2 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.444 #1 of 1 Archive leaderboard report
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.398 #1 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.368 #1 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.418 #7 of 17 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.399 #7 of 17 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.436 #17 of 72 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.421 #17 of 72 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.467 #8 of 22 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.444 #8 of 22 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) TSMixer MAE 0.398 #2 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) TSMixer MSE 0.368 #2 of 2 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.398 #8 of 15 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.368 #8 of 15 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.374 #6 of 16 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.33 #6 of 16 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.401 #8 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.357 #8 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.436 #8 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.395 #8 of 20 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.337 #11 of 16 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTh2 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.276 #11 of 16 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.369 #6 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.333 #6 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.385 #4 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.365 #4 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.413 #2 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.416 #2 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.346 #6 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm1 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.291 #6 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.293 #4 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (192) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.219 #4 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.329 #6 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (336) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.273 #6 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.38 #4 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (720) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.358 #4 of 8 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MAE 0.255 #7 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting ETTm2 (96) Multivariate TSMixer MSE 0.164 #7 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Electricity (336) TSMixer MSE 0.158 #2 of 9 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Electricity (96) TSMixer MSE 0.129 #6 of 11 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Traffic (192) TSMixer MSE 0.377 #3 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Traffic (336) TSMixer MSE 0.385 #1 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Traffic (720) TSMixer MSE 0.424 #2 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Traffic (96) TSMixer MSE 0.356 #2 of 3 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (192) TSMixer MAE 0.240 #8 of 13 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (192) TSMixer MSE 0.191 #8 of 13 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (336) TSMixer MAE 0.279 #7 of 11 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (336) TSMixer MSE 0.243 #7 of 11 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (720) TSMixer MAE 0.333 #7 of 11 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (720) TSMixer MSE 0.316 #7 of 11 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (96) TSMixer MAE 0.197 #5 of 12 Archive leaderboard report
Time Series Forecasting Weather (96) TSMixer MSE 0.146 #5 of 12 Archive leaderboard report

Ranks are positions in the archive's leaderboards as they stood at the 2025-07-28 snapshot. Results published since then are not among these rows, so a rank here is not a current standing.

Methods

Absolute Position EncodingsAdamAttentionAverage PoolingBPEDense ConnectionsDropoutGlobal Average PoolingLabel SmoothingLayer NormalizationLinear LayerMLP-MixerMulti-Head AttentionPosition-Wise Feed-Forward LayerResidual ConnectionSoftmaxTransformer

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