Papers › The Rise of Diffusion Models in Time-Series Forecasting

The Rise of Diffusion Models in Time-Series Forecasting

5 Jan 2024arXiv:2401.03006archive 2025-07-28

Caspar Meijer, Lydia Y. Chen

This survey delves into the application of diffusion models in time-series forecasting. Diffusion models are demonstrating state-of-the-art results in various fields of generative AI. The paper includes comprehensive background information on diffusion models, detailing their conditioning methods and reviewing their use in time-series forecasting. The analysis covers 11 specific time-series implementations, the intuition and theory behind them, the effectiveness on different datasets, and a comparison among each other. Key contributions of this work are the thorough exploration of diffusion models' applications in time-series forecasting and a chronologically ordered overview of these models. Additionally, the paper offers an insightful discussion on the current state-of-the-art in this domain and outlines potential future research directions. This serves as a valuable resource for researchers in AI and time-series analysis, offering a clear view of the latest advancements and future potential of diffusion models.

PaperPDFCodeCode Syntology ran

In Syntology Open this paper in Syntology's Atlas, the map of the papers in Syntology's graph and their citations.

For agents, Syntology's MCP tool lists every function and class Syntology harvested from this paper and whether it ran (how to connect): get_harvested_code_for_paper(arxiv_id="2401.03006")

Code

Syntology Ran 11 of 13 code samples harvested from 1 repository linked to this paper; 2 have no recorded run. Of those that ran: 2 ran · honoured contract; 4 ran · our draft was wrong; 5 ran with no contract checked.

By repository: official repository: 13 samples from 1 repository, 11 ran. The run record, sample by sample. “Ran” means executed on a synthesized input, not that the code is correct or reproduces the paper.

capsar/the-rise-of-diffusion-models-in-time-series-forecasting officialmentioned in papermentioned on GitHubNOASSERTION report
ai4healthuol/sssd officialmentioned in paperpytorchMIT report

Repository list and official/mentioned flags are the archive's, frozen 2025-07-28. Reachability, where shown, is from one Syntology probe window (2026-09-16 to 2026-09-18); repositories not probed show nothing. GitHub stars are not tracked.

Code Syntology ran Syntology

13 samples harvested; 11 ran; 2 honoured the contract we drafted; 2 have no recorded run. Read from Syntology's graph 2026-09-24; that is when this build read the record, not when the samples ran.

2ran · honoured contract
4ran · our draft was wrong
5ran
2unverified

Licence: 0 of the 13 samples are pointer only, meaning Syntology does not serve that copy's text. This page shows no code text for any sample; each one links to its file in the repository.

Harvested from ai4healthuol/sssd. “Ran” means the sample executed on a synthesized input. It does not mean the output is correct, and nothing here reproduces the paper's results. “Honoured” and “violated” refer to a contract Syntology drafted from the code itself; “our draft was wrong” and “fixture could not drive it” are failures of Syntology's instrument, not of the code.

Each sample ends with its code_sha256, Syntology's identity for that exact code. An agent fetches the stored sample with Syntology's MCP tool get_code(code_sha256="…") (how to connect); click an identity to copy that call.

Repository labels, per sample. official repository: The archive marks this repository official for the paper. named in the paper: The archive records that the paper mentions this repository; it is not marked official. community (archive-listed): In the archive's code links for this paper, not marked official and not recorded as mentioned in the paper. found in paper text by Syntology: Syntology found this repository in the paper's own text; whether it is the authors' implementation is not asserted. community: Not in the archive's code links for this paper; a community repository Syntology harvested. Samples from a repository marked official are listed first. Licence labels name the repository's licence as recorded at harvest. “Pointer only” means Syntology does not serve that copy's text, for one of four reasons: no licence file was found; the licence was not identified; the licence is recorded as permissive but that copy's record is not marked cleared; or the licence is outside the permissive list Syntology serves text under (MIT, Apache-2.0, BSD and similar). Some licences outside that list permit redistribution, such as WTFPL, and GPL-3.0 under its conditions; they are simply not on the list. Hover a licence label for the reason. File links open the file on GitHub at the default branch, which may have changed since the harvest.

swish ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/DiffWaveImputer.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong fingerprinted MIT (permissive) · 0f786c407fb1ee4c · report
Activation ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDIS4.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong MIT (permissive) · 89b10a8b26bbb7ed · report
calc_denominator ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDI.py official repository ran · honoured contract fingerprinted MIT (permissive) · 0eabe6591b009ad0 · report
cauchy_mult_torch ai4healthuol/sssd/src/entensions/cauchy/cauchy.py official repository ran MIT (permissive) · 2315ac65b1d02f17 · report
find_max_epoch ai4healthuol/sssd/src/utils/util.py official repository ran MIT (permissive) · 745f173f5a730552 · report
flatten ai4healthuol/sssd/src/utils/util.py official repository ran MIT (permissive) · c711b513a9afe00d · report
generate_data ai4healthuol/sssd/src/entensions/cauchy/benchmark_cauchy.py official repository ran MIT (permissive) · 6ecb7499d0e944c1 · report
get_initializer ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDIS4.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong MIT (permissive) · 49d9214ec79a8edb · report
get_logger ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDIS4.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong MIT (permissive) · 61139ec62260b411 · report
quantile_loss ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDI.py official repository ran · honoured contract fingerprinted MIT (permissive) · ff7efc68e98e1d55 · report
std_normal ai4healthuol/sssd/src/utils/util.py official repository ran MIT (permissive) · d3d2b2f127241f47 · report
calc_quantile_CRPS ai4healthuol/sssd/src/imputers/CSDI.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 265f06f01c273de4 · report
cauchy_mult_keops ai4healthuol/sssd/src/entensions/cauchy/cauchy.py official repository unverified MIT (permissive) · 846af7de233e7183 · report

Tasks

Time SeriesTime Series AnalysisTime Series Forecasting

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

No leaderboard rows for this paper in the archive.

Methods

Diffusion

Report a problem or propose a change · a person checks every report against the paper or source before anything changes; decisions are listed on /corrections