Papers › The Likelihood of Mixed Hitting Times

The Likelihood of Mixed Hitting Times

9 May 2019arXiv:1905.03463archive 2025-07-28

Jaap H. Abbring, Tim Salimans

We present a method for computing the likelihood of a mixed hitting-time model that specifies durations as the first time a latent L\'evy process crosses a heterogeneous threshold. This likelihood is not generally known in closed form, but its Laplace transform is. Our approach to its computation relies on numerical methods for inverting Laplace transforms that exploit special properties of the first passage times of L\'evy processes. We use our method to implement a maximum likelihood estimator of the mixed hitting-time model in MATLAB. We illustrate the application of this estimator with an analysis of Kennan's (1985) strike data.

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