Papers › Successor Uncertainties: Exploration and Uncertainty in Temporal Difference Learning

Successor Uncertainties: Exploration and Uncertainty in Temporal Difference Learning

15 Oct 2018NeurIPS 2019 12arXiv:1810.06530archive 2025-07-28

David Janz, Jiri Hron, Przemysław Mazur, Katja Hofmann, José Miguel Hernández-Lobato, Sebastian Tschiatschek

Posterior sampling for reinforcement learning (PSRL) is an effective method for balancing exploration and exploitation in reinforcement learning. Randomised value functions (RVF) can be viewed as a promising approach to scaling PSRL. However, we show that most contemporary algorithms combining RVF with neural network function approximation do not possess the properties which make PSRL effective, and provably fail in sparse reward problems. Moreover, we find that propagation of uncertainty, a property of PSRL previously thought important for exploration, does not preclude this failure. We use these insights to design Successor Uncertainties (SU), a cheap and easy to implement RVF algorithm that retains key properties of PSRL. SU is highly effective on hard tabular exploration benchmarks. Furthermore, on the Atari 2600 domain, it surpasses human performance on 38 of 49 games tested (achieving a median human normalised score of 2.09), and outperforms its closest RVF competitor, Bootstrapped DQN, on 36 of those.

PaperPDFConference PDFCodeCode Syntology ran

In Syntology Open this paper in Syntology's Atlas, the map of the papers in Syntology's graph and their citations.

For agents, Syntology's MCP tool lists every function and class Syntology harvested from this paper and whether it ran (how to connect): get_harvested_code_for_paper(arxiv_id="1810.06530")

Code

Syntology Ran 7 of 7 code samples harvested from 2 repositories linked to this paper; 0 have no recorded run. Of those that ran: 1 ran · honoured contract; 1 ran · violated contract; 2 ran · our draft was wrong; 3 ran · fixture could not drive it.

By repository: community (archive-listed): 7 samples from 2 repositories, 7 ran. The run record, sample by sample. “Ran” means executed on a synthesized input, not that the code is correct or reproduces the paper.

DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_atari mentioned on GitHubpytorch report

Repository list and official/mentioned flags are the archive's, frozen 2025-07-28. Reachability, where shown, is from one Syntology probe window (2026-09-16 to 2026-09-18); repositories not probed show nothing. GitHub stars are not tracked.

Code Syntology ran Syntology

7 samples harvested; 7 ran; 1 honoured the contract we drafted; 0 have no recorded run. Read from Syntology's graph 2026-09-24; that is when this build read the record, not when the samples ran.

1ran · honoured contract
1ran · violated contract
2ran · our draft was wrong
3ran · fixture could not drive it

Licence: 7 of the 7 samples are pointer only, meaning Syntology does not serve that copy's text. This page shows no code text for any sample; each one links to its file in the repository.

Harvested from 2 repositories linked to this paper, official or community; each sample names its own and says which. “Ran” means the sample executed on a synthesized input. It does not mean the output is correct, and nothing here reproduces the paper's results. “Honoured” and “violated” refer to a contract Syntology drafted from the code itself; “our draft was wrong” and “fixture could not drive it” are failures of Syntology's instrument, not of the code.

Each sample ends with its code_sha256, Syntology's identity for that exact code. An agent fetches the stored sample with Syntology's MCP tool get_code(code_sha256="…") (how to connect); click an identity to copy that call.

Repository labels, per sample. official repository: The archive marks this repository official for the paper. named in the paper: The archive records that the paper mentions this repository; it is not marked official. community (archive-listed): In the archive's code links for this paper, not marked official and not recorded as mentioned in the paper. found in paper text by Syntology: Syntology found this repository in the paper's own text; whether it is the authors' implementation is not asserted. community: Not in the archive's code links for this paper; a community repository Syntology harvested. Samples from a repository marked official are listed first. Licence labels name the repository's licence as recorded at harvest. “Pointer only” means Syntology does not serve that copy's text, for one of four reasons: no licence file was found; the licence was not identified; the licence is recorded as permissive but that copy's record is not marked cleared; or the licence is outside the permissive list Syntology serves text under (MIT, Apache-2.0, BSD and similar). Some licences outside that list permit redistribution, such as WTFPL, and GPL-3.0 under its conditions; they are simply not on the list. Hover a licence label for the reason. File links open the file on GitHub at the default branch, which may have changed since the harvest.

emulator_time_exit DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_atari/run_test.py community (archive-listed) ran · violated contract fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · a1164f2c12752323 · report
get_color DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_tabular/plotting/plot_scaling.py community (archive-listed) ran · fixture could not drive it no licence file found · pointer only · c5e92f1d08cd7598 · report
get_line DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_tabular/plotting/plot_scaling.py community (archive-listed) ran · honoured contract fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · 70df6725d99bbfb9 · report
play_episode DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_atari/run_atari.py community (archive-listed) ran · fixture could not drive it no licence file found · pointer only · 42daa8f89616ba8f · report
play_test_episode DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_atari/run_test.py community (archive-listed) ran · fixture could not drive it no licence file found · pointer only · 6c5a23a441cc3ec1 · report
read_pickle_scaling DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_tabular/plotting/plot_scaling.py community (archive-listed) ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · 4352e80bae2d0815 · report
s2ms_str DavidJanz/successor_uncertainties_tabular/run/__main__.py community (archive-listed) ran · our draft was wrong fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · 5fcf7685d99a18af · report

Tasks

Decision MakingReinforcement LearningReinforcement Learning (RL)reinforcement-learning

Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28

No leaderboard rows for this paper in the archive.

Methods

ConvolutionDQNDense ConnectionsQ-Learning

Report a problem or propose a change · a person checks every report against the paper or source before anything changes; decisions are listed on /corrections