Papers › Selecting time-series hyperparameters with the artificial jackknife

Selecting time-series hyperparameters with the artificial jackknife

11 Feb 2020arXiv:2002.04697archive 2025-07-28

Filippo Pellegrino

This article proposes a generalisation of the delete-d jackknife to solve hyperparameter selection problems for time series. I call it artificial delete-d jackknife to stress that this approach substitutes the classic removal step with a fictitious deletion, wherein observed datapoints are replaced with artificial missing values. This procedure keeps the data order intact and allows plain compatibility with time series. This manuscript justifies the use of this approach asymptotically and shows its finite-sample advantages through simulation studies. Besides, this article describes its real-world advantages by regulating forecasting models for foreign exchange rates.

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fipelle/ElasticNetVAR.jl officialmentioned in papermentioned on GitHub report
fipelle/replication-pellegrino-2022-hyperparameters officialmentioned in papermentioned on GitHub report

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