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Reconstruction of the temporal correlation network of all-cause mortality fluctuation across Italian regions: the importance of temperature and among-nodes flux

22 Nov 2022arXiv:2211.12395archive 2025-07-28

Guido Gigante, Alessandro Giuliani

All-cause mortality is a very coarse grain, albeit very reliable, index to check the health implications of lifestyle determinants, systemic threats and socio-demographic factors. In this work we adopt a statistical-mechanics approach to the analysis of temporal fluctuations of all-cause mortality, focusing on the correlation structure of this index across different regions of Italy. The correlation network among the 20 Italian regions was reconstructed using temperature oscillations and travellers' flux (as a function of distance and region's attractiveness, based on GDP), allowing for a separation between infective and non-infective death causes. The proposed approach allows monitoring of emerging systemic threats in terms of anomalies of correlation network structure.

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