Papers › Probabilistic Forward Modeling of Galaxy Catalogs with Normalizing Flows

Probabilistic Forward Modeling of Galaxy Catalogs with Normalizing Flows

8 May 2024arXiv:2405.04740links table onlyarchive 2025-07-28

John Franklin Crenshaw, J. Bryce Kalmbach, Alexander Gagliano, Ziang Yan, Andrew J. Connolly, Alex I. Malz, Samuel J. Schmidt, The LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

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Evaluating the accuracy and calibration of the redshift posteriors produced by photometric redshift (photo-z) estimators is vital for enabling precision cosmology and extragalactic astrophysics with modern wide-field photometric surveys. Evaluating photo-z posteriors on a per-galaxy basis is difficult, however, as real galaxies have a true redshift but not a true redshift posterior. We introduce PZFlow, a Python package for the probabilistic forward modeling of galaxy catalogs with normalizing flows. For catalogs simulated with PZFlow, there is a natural notion of "true" redshift posteriors that can be used for photo-z validation. We use PZFlow to simulate a photometric galaxy catalog where each galaxy has a redshift, noisy photometry, shape information, and a true redshift posterior. We also demonstrate the use of an ensemble of normalizing flows for photo-z estimation. We discuss how PZFlow will be used to validate the photo-z estimation pipeline of the Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC), and the wider applicability of PZFlow for statistical modeling of any tabular data.

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jfcrenshaw/photerr officialmentioned in paperMIT report
jfcrenshaw/pzflow officialmentioned in paperjax report

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