Papers › NeutralUniverseMachine: An Empirical Model for the Evolution of HI and H₂ Gas in the Universe

NeutralUniverseMachine: An Empirical Model for the Evolution of HI and H₂ Gas in the Universe

13 Jul 2023arXiv:2307.07078links table onlyarchive 2025-07-28

Hong Guo, Jing Wang, Michael G. Jones, Peter Behroozi

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Accurately modeling the cold gas content in the universe is challenging for current theoretical models. We propose a new empirical model NeutralUniverseMachine for the evolution of HI and H₂ gas along with dark matter halos based on the UniverseMachine catalog. It is able to accurately describe the observed HI and H₂ mass functions, molecular-to-atomic ratio, HI-halo mass relation, HI/H₂-stellar mass relations at z∼0, as well as the evolution of cosmic gas densities ρ_(HI) and ρ_(H₂) in 0<z<6. The predictions from our model include: (i) There is weak evolution of HI mass function in 0<z<3, but the evolution of H₂ mass function is much stronger at the massive end. (ii) The average HI and H₂ masses at a given stellar mass decrease by around 1 dex since z=3 for the star-forming galaxies, but the evolution for the quenched galaxies is much weaker. (iii) Star-forming galaxies have varying HI depletion time τ_(HI) from 0.1 Gyr to 10 Gyr, and the dependence of τ_(HI) on stellar mass and redshift is much stronger than those of H₂ depletion time. The quenched galaxies have much longer gas depletion time and weaker redshift evolution. (iv) The cosmic baryon density associated with galaxies is dominated by stars for z<1.2 and mainly contributed by HI gas at higher redshifts. (v) The HI bias gradually increases with the redshift from 0.69 to 2.33 in 0<z<3 and is consistent with recent HI intensity mapping experiments.

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