Papers › (Mis)Fitting: A Survey of Scaling Laws

(Mis)Fitting: A Survey of Scaling Laws

26 Feb 2025arXiv:2502.18969archive 2025-07-28

Margaret Li, Sneha Kudugunta, Luke Zettlemoyer

Modern foundation models rely heavily on using scaling laws to guide crucial training decisions. Researchers often extrapolate the optimal architecture and hyper parameters settings from smaller training runs by describing the relationship between, loss, or task performance, and scale. All components of this process vary, from the specific equation being fit, to the training setup, to the optimization method. Each of these factors may affect the fitted law, and therefore, the conclusions of a given study. We discuss discrepancies in the conclusions that several prior works reach, on questions such as the optimal token to parameter ratio. We augment this discussion with our own analysis of the critical impact that changes in specific details may effect in a scaling study, and the resulting altered conclusions. Additionally, we survey over 50 papers that study scaling trends: while 45 of these papers quantify these trends using a power law, most under-report crucial details needed to reproduce their findings. To mitigate this, we we propose a checklist for authors to consider while contributing to scaling law research.

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apply_smoothing_filter hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · c10f725822634149 · report
custom_huber_loss hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · violated contract fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · 0e3ad85778a00e72 · report
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get_color hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · 8d1a5df6af7bf845 · report
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maybe_get_item hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · violated contract fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · a6d9e09c75556988 · report
minimize_with_interp hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · c569c60d28de0481 · report
power_law_fit hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · bf2301eb6d098001 · report
precise_flops_per_token_chinchilla hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · violated contract fingerprinted no licence file found · pointer only · fc9bc7439b7fd07b · report
precise_param_count_open_lm hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · honoured contract no licence file found · pointer only · e20ba47c892c9025 · report
proportional_sliding_window_filter hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · e21e1648a30e4bc5 · report
vectorized_interp_with_seed_noise hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository ran · our draft was wrong no licence file found · pointer only · 8d12b64a6baa8c66 · report
fit_compute_optimal_power_laws hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository unverified no licence file found · pointer only · 0c16ea3bfb805dee · report
fit_isoflop_power_law hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository unverified no licence file found · pointer only · 6b4a2fc6a22b2143 · report
interp_flop hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository unverified no licence file found · pointer only · a4b194333547551a · report
interpolation hadasah/scaling_laws/paper_analysis_and_plots.py official repository unverified no licence file found · pointer only · 910a5e11cfe206a8 · report

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