Papers › LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Trend Prediction: A Benchmark Study
LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Trend Prediction: A Benchmark Study
Matteo Prata, Giuseppe Masi, Leonardo Berti, Viviana Arrigoni, Andrea Coletta, Irene Cannistraci, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Paola Velardi, Novella Bartolini
The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.
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