Papers › Forecasting for monetary policy

Forecasting for monetary policy

13 Jan 2025arXiv:2501.07386archive 2025-07-28

Laura Coroneo

This paper discusses three key themes in forecasting for monetary policy highlighted in the Bernanke (2024) review: the challenges in economic forecasting, the conditional nature of central bank forecasts, and the importance of forecast evaluation. In addition, a formal evaluation of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts indicates that, despite the large forecast errors in recent years, they were still accurate relative to common benchmarks.

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