Papers › Estimating excess mortality in high-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
Estimating excess mortality in high-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
Giacomo De Nicola, Göran Kauermann
The archive published only this paper's code-link row. Authors, date and abstract are from arXiv's metadata (CC0), read from the Kaggle arXiv metadata snapshot of 2026-09-12 where its title matched the archive's; the title is the archive's.
Quantifying the number of deaths caused by the COVID-19 crisis has been an ongoing challenge for scientists, and no golden standard to do so has yet been established. We propose a principled approach to calculate age-adjusted yearly excess mortality, and apply it to obtain estimates and uncertainty bounds for 30 countries with publicly available data. The results uncover remarkable variation in pandemic outcomes across different countries. We further compare our findings with existing estimates published in other major scientific outlets, highlighting the importance of proper age adjustment to obtain unbiased figures.
Code
Repository list and official/mentioned flags are the archive's, frozen 2025-07-28. Reachability, where shown, is from one Syntology probe window (2026-09-16 to 2026-09-18); repositories not probed show nothing. GitHub stars are not tracked.
Code Syntology ran Syntology
Not run by Syntology. Nothing on this page verifies that the listed code works.
Results from the paper archive 2025-07-28
No leaderboard rows for this paper in the archive.
Report a problem or propose a change · a person checks every report against the paper or source before anything changes; decisions are listed on /corrections