Papers › Conditional independence testing: a predictive perspective

Conditional independence testing: a predictive perspective

31 Jul 2019arXiv:1908.00105archive 2025-07-28

Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio, Rafael Izbicki, Rafael Bassi Stern

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel conditional independence test in a predictive setting, and show that it achieves better power than competing approaches in several settings. Our approach consists in deriving a p-value using a permutation test where the predictive power using the unpermuted dataset is compared with the predictive power of using dataset where the feature(s) of interest are permuted. We conclude that the method achives sensible results on simulated and real datasets.

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