Papers › A calibrated BISG for inferring race from surname and geolocation

A calibrated BISG for inferring race from surname and geolocation

18 Apr 2023arXiv:2304.09126links table onlyarchive 2025-07-28

Philip Greengard, Andrew Gelman

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Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) is a ubiquitous tool for predicting race and ethnicity using an individual's geolocation and surname. Here we demonstrate that statistical dependence of surname and geolocation within racial/ethnic categories in the United States results in biases for minority subpopulations, and we introduce a raking-based improvement. Our method augments the data used by BISG--distributions of race by geolocation and race by surname--with the distribution of surname by geolocation obtained from state voter files. We validate our algorithm on state voter registration lists that contain self-identified race/ethnicity.

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