{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/variational-heteroscedastic-volatility-model","title":"Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model","arxiv_id":"2204.05806","date":"2022-04-11","proceeding":null,"authors":["Zexuan Yin","Paolo Barucca"],"abstract":"We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several areas of deep learning, namely sequential modelling and representation learning, to model complex temporal dynamics between different asset returns. At its core, VHVM consists of a variational autoencoder to capture relationships between assets, and a recurrent neural network to model the time-evolution of these dependencies. The outputs of VHVM are time-varying conditional volatilities in the form of covariance matrices. We demonstrate the effectiveness of VHVM against existing methods such as Generalised AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Stochastic Volatility (SV) models on a wide range of multivariate foreign currency (FX) datasets.","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.05806v1","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2204.05806v1.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"abstracts"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"variational-heteroscedastic-volatility-model","repo_url":"https://github.com/KurochkinAlexey/VHVM","is_official":0,"mentioned_in_paper":0,"mentioned_in_github":1,"framework":"pytorch","reach":null}],"tasks":[{"task_slug":"representation-learning","task_name":"Representation Learning"},{"task_slug":"time-series-1","task_name":"Time Series"},{"task_slug":"time-series","task_name":"Time Series Analysis"},{"task_slug":"model","task_name":"model"}],"methods":[],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":null,"mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}