{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/predictive-prescription-of-unit-commitment","title":"Predictive Prescription of Unit Commitment Decisions Under Net Load Uncertainty","arxiv_id":"2211.17025","date":"2022-11-30","proceeding":null,"authors":["Ogun Yurdakul","Feng Qiu","Sahin Albayrak"],"abstract":"To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts and temporal information, these models are typically plagued by a poor out-of-sample performance. To effectively exploit contextual information, in this paper, we formulate a conditional SUC problem that is solved given a covariate observation. The presented problem relies on the true conditional distribution of net load and so cannot be solved in practice. To approximate its solution, we put forward a predictive prescription framework, which leverages a machine learning model to derive weights that are used in solving a reweighted sample average approximation problem. In contrast with existing predictive prescription frameworks, we manipulate the weights that the learning model delivers based on the specific dataset, present a method to select pertinent covariates, and tune the hyperparameters of the framework based on the out-of-sample cost of its policies. We conduct extensive numerical studies, which lay out the relative merits of the framework vis-\\`a-vis various benchmarks.","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.17025v1","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2211.17025v1.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"links_only","authors_date_abstract":"arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0 (https://info.arxiv.org/help/license), from the Kaggle arXiv metadata snapshot of 2026-09-12"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"predictive-prescription-of-unit-commitment","repo_url":"https://github.com/oyurdakul/isgtna23","is_official":1,"mentioned_in_paper":1,"mentioned_in_github":0,"framework":"none","reach":null}],"tasks":[],"methods":[],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":null,"mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}