{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/on-the-extrapolation-of-generative","title":"On the Extrapolation of Generative Adversarial Networks for downscaling precipitation extremes in warmer climates","arxiv_id":"2409.13934","date":"2024-09-20","proceeding":null,"authors":["Neelesh Rampal","Peter B. Gibson","Steven Sherwood","Gab Abramowitz"],"abstract":"While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic Convolutional Neural Network baseline and a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) built with this baseline, trained to predict daily precipitation simulated by a Regional Climate Model (RCM). Both approaches emulate future changes in annual mean precipitation well, even when trained on historical data, though training on a future climate improves performance. For extreme precipitation (99.5th percentile), RCM simulations predict a robust end-of-century increase with future warming (~5.8%/{\\deg}C on average from five simulations). When trained on a future climate, GANs capture 97% of the warming-driven increase in extreme precipitation compared to 65% in a deterministic baseline. Even GANs trained historically capture 77% of this increase. Overall, GANs offer better generalization for downscaling extremes, which is important in applications relying on historical data.","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.13934v1","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2409.13934v1.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"links_only","authors_date_abstract":"arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0 (https://info.arxiv.org/help/license), from the Kaggle arXiv metadata snapshot of 2026-09-12"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"on-the-extrapolation-of-generative","repo_url":"https://github.com/nram812/On-the-Extrapolation-of-Generative-Adversarial-Networks-for-downscaling-precipitation-extremes","is_official":1,"mentioned_in_paper":1,"mentioned_in_github":0,"framework":"tf","reach":null},{"paper_slug":"on-the-extrapolation-of-generative","repo_url":"https://zenodo.org/record/13755688","is_official":0,"mentioned_in_paper":0,"mentioned_in_github":0,"framework":"none","reach":null}],"tasks":[],"methods":[],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":null,"mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}