{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/machine-learning-classifiers-do-not-improve","title":"Machine Learning Classifiers Do Not Improve the Prediction of Academic Risk: Evidence from Australia","arxiv_id":"1807.07215","date":"2018-07-19","proceeding":null,"authors":["Sarah Cornell-Farrow","Robert Garrard"],"abstract":"Machine learning methods tend to outperform traditional statistical models at prediction. In the prediction of academic achievement, ML models have not shown substantial improvement over logistic regression. So far, these results have almost entirely focused on college achievement, due to the availability of administrative datasets, and have contained relatively small sample sizes by ML standards. In this article we apply popular machine learning models to a large dataset ($n=1.2$ million) containing primary and middle school performance on a standardized test given annually to Australian students. We show that machine learning models do not outperform logistic regression for detecting students who will perform in the `below standard' band of achievement upon sitting their next test, even in a large-$n$ setting.","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.07215v4","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1807.07215v4.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"abstracts"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"machine-learning-classifiers-do-not-improve","repo_url":"https://github.com/RobGarrard/A-Machine-Learning-Approach-for-Detecting-Students-at-Risk-of-Low-Academic-Achievement","is_official":1,"mentioned_in_paper":1,"mentioned_in_github":1,"framework":"tf","reach":null}],"tasks":[{"task_slug":"machine-learning","task_name":"BIG-bench Machine Learning"},{"task_slug":"regression-1","task_name":"regression"}],"methods":[{"method_slug":"logistic-regression","method_name":"Logistic Regression"}],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":null,"mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}