{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/data-driven-dynamic-decision-models","title":"Data-Driven Dynamic Decision Models","arxiv_id":"1603.08150","date":"2016-03-26","proceeding":null,"authors":["John J. Nay","Jonathan M. Gilligan"],"abstract":"This article outlines a method for automatically generating models of dynamic\ndecision-making that both have strong predictive power and are interpretable in\nhuman terms. This is useful for designing empirically grounded agent-based\nsimulations and for gaining direct insight into observed dynamic processes. We\nuse an efficient model representation and a genetic algorithm-based estimation\nprocess to generate simple approximations that explain most of the structure of\ncomplex stochastic processes. This method, implemented in C++ and R, scales\nwell to large data sets. We apply our methods to empirical data from human\nsubjects game experiments and international relations. We also demonstrate the\nmethod's ability to recover known data-generating processes by simulating data\nwith agent-based models and correctly deriving the underlying decision models\nfor multiple agent models and degrees of stochasticity.","url_abs":"http://arxiv.org/abs/1603.08150v1","url_pdf":"http://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.08150v1.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"abstracts"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"data-driven-dynamic-decision-models","repo_url":"https://github.com/JohnNay/datafsm","is_official":1,"mentioned_in_paper":1,"mentioned_in_github":0,"framework":"none","reach":null}],"tasks":[{"task_slug":"decision-making","task_name":"Decision Making"}],"methods":[],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":null,"mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}