{"about":{"site":"https://codewithpapers.app","non_affiliation":"Code with Papers and Syntology are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Papers with Code, Meta, or the pwc-archive mirror.","licence":"CC BY-SA 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","attribution":"https://codewithpapers.app/attribution","modified":"archive material modified by Syntology; see the attribution page"},"url":"/paper/conformal-load-prediction-with-transductive","title":"Conformal Load Prediction with Transductive Graph Autoencoders","arxiv_id":"2406.08281","date":"2024-06-12","proceeding":null,"authors":["Rui Luo","Nicolo Colombo"],"abstract":"Predicting edge weights on graphs has various applications, from transportation systems to social networks. This paper describes a Graph Neural Network (GNN) approach for edge weight prediction with guaranteed coverage. We leverage conformal prediction to calibrate the GNN outputs and produce valid prediction intervals. We handle data heteroscedasticity through error reweighting and Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR). We compare the performance of our method against baseline techniques on real-world transportation datasets. Our approach has better coverage and efficiency than all baselines and showcases robustness and adaptability.","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.08281v1","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.08281v1.pdf","source":{"archive":"pwc-archive (Hugging Face), CC BY-SA 4.0","snapshot":"2025-07-28","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode","row_kind":"abstracts"},"code_links":[{"paper_slug":"conformal-load-prediction-with-transductive","repo_url":"https://github.com/luo-lorry/conformal-load-forecasting","is_official":1,"mentioned_in_paper":1,"mentioned_in_github":0,"framework":"pytorch","reach":null}],"tasks":[{"task_slug":"conformal-prediction","task_name":"Conformal Prediction"},{"task_slug":"graph-neural-network","task_name":"Graph Neural Network"},{"task_slug":"prediction","task_name":"Prediction"},{"task_slug":"prediction-intervals","task_name":"Prediction Intervals"},{"task_slug":"quantile-regression","task_name":"quantile regression"},{"task_slug":null,"task_name":"valid"}],"methods":[{"method_slug":"graph-neural-network","method_name":"Graph Neural Network"}],"datasets_introduced":[],"methods_introduced":[],"results":[],"syntology":{"atlas_url":"https://app.syntology.ai/?focus=2406.08281","mcp":null,"developers":"https://syntology.ai/developers"},"arxiv_metadata":null,"syntology_extracted_results":null}